Met Office update - Ash cloud may affect some parts of the UK - 15 May

Saturday 15, May 2010


Met Office update - Ash cloud may affect some parts of the UK - 15 May


Winds are expected to blow mainly from the northwest for a time over the weekend with the risk of ash affecting some parts of the UK.


However, winds are predicted to swing into a south westerly direction by the middle of next week, which would take most of any ash away from the British Isles.


The Met Office will provide frequently updated information to NATS and CAA about the movement of the volcanic ash, in line with the standards and tolerances set by the CAA and the aviation industry.


Operational decisions on airspace restrictions are the responsibility of CAA/NATS and further information on the impacts of the volcanic ash should be sought from them. However, no decision on airspace restrictions will be made more than 24 hours in advance.


Five day ash prediction charts are now available to provide an indication of possible ash cloud dispersion beyond the short term. Until now, the Met Office has provided charts showing ash forecasts for the next 18 hours, and these remain the charts on which operational decisions are made.


Beyond 18 hours we have to deal with the unpredictability of the volcano and it is worth stressing that forecasts of winds become more uncertain the longer the lead time. Hence these forecasts are for general guidance only and you should refer to the short period charts for more accurate information.




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